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Pre-camp Mock Draft – Rounds 4-6

30 June, 2009 (12:14) | Football, Football Mock Drafts | By: Matt

Round 4

Pick Team Player Position Team OTA Mock Pre-draft Mock Mid-winter Mock
31 Team 10 Thomas Jones RB NYJ 50 43 29
32 Team 9 Reggie Wayne WR IND 23 24 26
33 Team 8 Aaron Rodgers QB GB 34 42  
34 Team 7 Wes Welker WR NE 35 36 36
35 Team 6 Terrell Owens WR BUF 36 38  
36 Team 5 Philip Rivers QB SD 39 40 30
37 Team 4 Derrick Ward RB TB 38 50  
38 Team 3 Marques Colston WR NO 43 35 39
39 Team 2 Vincent Jackson WR SD 52 97  
40 Team 1 Peyton Manning QB IND 24 17 17

Team 9 grabs its first receiver and does pretty well, considering Reggie Wayne was a 2nd round pick last year and a 3rd round pick in all of our previous mocks.  Aaron Rodgers is the third quarterback off the board at pick 33.  As you’ve seen from our other posts, we think Rodgers will be a top 3 QB again this year, and it wouldn’t be crazy to draft him as early as the third round if you want to make sure he’s on your roster.  Team 3 picks up its first receiver after going RB/RB/RB, and also does well with Marques Colston.  Then we finally see Peyton Manning go off the board as the fifth quarterback.  Other key points in this round include Wes Welker’s grasp on the middle of the fourth round in all of our mocks.  He is always closely followed by Terrell Owens, which seems strange when you consider the careers of those two players.  Also of note is the dramatic rise of Vincent Jackson.  I picked him a lot earlier this time around because the pickings at receiver were getting quite thin and I expected team 1 to take a receiver at the turn.

Round 5

Pick Team Player Position Team OTA Mock Pre-draft Mock Mid-winter Mock
41 Team 1 Jason Witten TE DAL 37 41  
42 Team 2 Donovan McNabb QB PHI 63 73  
43 Team 3 Kurt Warner QB ARI 46 34  
44 Team 4 Tony Gonzalez TE ATL 32 37  
45 Team 5 Antonio Gates TE SD 42 46  
46 Team 6 Roy Williams WR DAL 58 71  
47 Team 7 Brandon Marshall WR DEN 44 27 21
48 Team 8 T.J. Houshmandzadeh WR SEA 45 47  
49 Team 9 Dallas Clark TE IND 40 54  
50 Team 10 Braylon Edwards WR CLE 60 55  

This round was dominated by pass catchers, with 8 of the 10 picks being receivers or tight ends.    It also saw Donovan McNabb continue to climb up the draft board as he was taken ahead of Kurt Warner.  That doesn’t feel right, but the old man has to slow down soon, right?  Roy Williams also continues to move up, climbing from the 8th round to the 6th round to the middle of the 5th.  I wouldn’t buy him there, but someone will.  Brandon Marshall seems to have found a home in the mid-5th, too, now that we’ve fully digested his QB change.  Now, if his trade request is granted we’ll have to recalibrate again.

Round 6

Pick Team Player Position Team OTA Mock Pre-draft Mock Mid-winter Mock
51 Team 10 Knowshon Moreno RB DEN 30 67 40
52 Team 9 Anthony Gonzalez WR IND 59 75  
53 Team 8 Marshawn Lynch RB BUF 54 39 15
54 Team 7 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR 78 93  
55 Team 6 Tony Romo QB DAL 41 26 33
56 Team 5 Kevin Walter WR HOU 62 52  
57 Team 4 Reggie Bush RB NO 56 51  
58 Team 3 Bernard Berrian WR MIN 67 57  
59 Team 2 Willie Parker RB PIT 57 44 31
60 Team 1 Larry Johnson RB KC 61 63  

Knowshon Moreno takes a tumble back to the sixth round this time.  It’s really hard to gauge what’s happening in Denver, so Moreno could go anywhere from the fourth to the seventh round.  Team 9 picked up a 3rd consecutive Colts player, which we’ll talk about more in the team Q&A at the end of the mock.  Noticeable trends in this round include the leveling off of Marshawn’s value as a sixth rounder.  He went in the second round of our first mock and quickly dropped after his off-field issues led to a 3-game suspension.  Jonathan Stewart, on the other hand, has been rising from the 10th round to the 8th to the 6th.  While DeAngelo Williams is staying put in the early second round, we apparently feel that Stewart will have more of a role than we thought three months ago.  The next pick, Tony Romo, has been dropping steadily.  Back when he had Terrell Owens I thought he’d be a contender to be a top 3 QB.  Now that he has only Jason Witten and Roy Williams, I’m less sure of his potential.  However, I’m certain he’ll be a top 10 QB and he should go in rounds five through seven.  Finally, Willie Parker is another dropper.  He made our four-round mock back in January but barely cracked the sixth round today.  We just don’t think he has a lot of value left, and you can do better.  He might make a decent flex player, but he’s not worth much more than this sixth round pick.

 

Rounds 1-3        Rounds 7-9        Teams/Q&A

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